Cummings Compass Research Contact

Information Releases Archive

28 Nov 2019 Cummings Economics Report CE Ref J3218.16

Direct Flights Between Lae & Cairns

Provides a summary of the Business Case for Direct Flights between Lae & Cairns developed for Tradelinked with support from Cairns Regional Council.

12 Nov 2019 Media Article CE Ref J3284.17

Cairns Economy Update: Behind Cairns’ Success – Strong Hinterland Progress

Article prepared for magazine Cairns Connect November Issue Page 22.

Cairns Connect

12 Aug 2019 Media Article CE Ref J3266.18

Cairns Economy Update: Some Challenges But Continuing Overall Progress

Article prepared for magazine Cairns Connect August Issue Page 22

15 Jul 2019 Cairns Economy Presentation CE Ref J3262.19

Cairns Economy Update: Short-term Trends & Prospects for the Cairns and Regional Economy

Bill Cummings Cairns Chamber of Commerce annual address.

When I first started presenting these annual reviews of the economy to the Chamber,14 years ago in 2005, the Cairns economy was flying high. In the following years, city population growth rate would reach close to 4%, building approvals exceed $1bn, and number of dwelling approvals exceed 3,000.

15 Jun 2019 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J3235.22

Cost Of Alcohol Related Crime & Violence In Cairns

Bill Cummings made a presentation to the Liquor Accord Group in Cairns on 19th June 2019, giving estimates based on international and overseas data on the social cost of alcohol abuse.

12 Jun 2019 Other Presentation CE Ref J3228.23

Cairns & Mining

Bill Cummings presented a paper to the International Mineral Conference in Cairns on 12th June 2019 entitled "The Importance of Mining to Cairns - Past, Present and Future".

06 Jun 2019 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J3259A &.24

Queensland Budget 2019-20 Capital Expenditure Analysis

The Queensland Budget 2019-20 contained a major 14% rise in capital expenditure over the previous year. However, it was mostly in the Greater Brisbane, Gold Coast, Sunshine Coast area and there was a net decline in regional Queensland. Although there was a strong rise in the Cairns region, it only brought the region up from previous very low per capita levels for five years to about average per capita levels for regional areas. Analysis of capital expenditure in the Cairns SA4 region over the past six budgets indicates a cumulative deficit of over $1bn on regional per capita averages.

15 May 2019 Media Article CE Ref J3182.28

Cairns Economy Update: Capital of the North's Leading Region

This article sets out the wider and local influences on the Cairns region's economic prospects and likely performance in 2019. It records that the region has many positive underlying factors leading to its long-term growth but records some negative factors currently influencing performance. Cairns Connect magazine May Issue Page 22

Cairns Connect

24 Apr 2019 Media Article CE Ref J3245.25

Cairns Economy Update: Continuing To Lead In Overall Population Growth & Size In Northern Australia

Over the past year, the Cairns region stretching west to the Northern Territory border and north to the Papua New Guinea border has continued to be the largest in population and fastest growing region in northern Australia.

Article prepared for Cairns Chamber of Commerce Annual Publication.

16 Apr 2019 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J3205.26

The Importance Of The Construction Sector & Civil Construction In The Northern Queensland Regional Economies

Bill Cummings presented the results of a research paper to the inaugural conference of the North Queensland Civil Construction Association - Cairns 6th April 2019, indicating that with "flow-on" effects, the construction sector supported of the order of 18% of economic activity and employment from the Mackay region northwards

04 Apr 2019 Research & Statistical Note Ref J3225.27

The Case For Nullinga Dam

This short presentation prepared for Cairns Regional Council summarises why it is urgent to expand water storage in the region if the expansion in agricultural production the region has been experiencing is to continue.

01 Apr 2019 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J3243.29

Trends In Tourism In Tropical North Queensland

This series of three Research Notes were prepared for Tourism Tropical North Queensland.

Each paper sets out significant findings as well as detailed charts, tables and analysis.

16 Mar 2019 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J3225.30

Queensland Government Long-Term Population Projections In Regional Queensland From The 1970s Onwards

There has been sporadic controversy about the Queensland Government's long-term population projections in regional Queensland. This paper reviews regional projections against what actually happened.

The research indicates that economic volatility has made projections difficult. There have been some large over estimations, especially of those regions heavily affected by mining based on Rockhampton, Mackay and Townsville, and for the Outback region, but comparative under estimation in the Cairns region. The Cairns and Wide Bay regions have consistently led growth in regional areas and it seems likely that the latest projections for the Cairns region in relation to other regional areas will prove to be an under estimate.

12 Feb 2019 Media Article CE Ref J3266.40

Cairns Economy Update: Expectations for 2019

  • Removing the bottlenecks.
  • Consumer Spending Positive
  • Earnings from outside the region.
  • Government and other services "catch up" continuing.

Article prepared for magazine Cairns Connect February Issue Page 22.

13 Nov 2018 Media Article Ref J3195.43

Top 10 Reasons To Invest In The Cairns Region

Cummings Economics supplied an article for the Cairns Post's "Invest Cairns" booklet.

11 Sep 2018 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J3142.42

Cairns Seaport Expansion

These four Statistical Notes address:

Each paper sets out significant findings as well as detailed charts, tables and analysis.

11 Sep 2018 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref .44

Comparative Government Expenditure In The Cairns Region

These papers again highlight the comparatively low level of Commonwealth and State Government expenditure in the North.

17 Jul 2018 Cairns Economy Presentation CE Ref RefJ3171.49

Winning Through: Economic Trends & Prospects for Cairns and the Tropical North Queensland Region

Bill Cummings presented his annual review of the region's economy to the Cairns Chamber of Commerce on 24th July 2018.

30 Jun 2018 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J3163.45

Historical Economic & Population Trends Affecting The Potential Viability Of New States In The North

Cummings Economics supplied a Paper, for the Committee for a Separate Northern State in Queensland.

28 Jun 2018 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J3168.51

2018/19 Capital Expenditure Regional Comparisons

The following gives an analysis of the 2018-19 State budget capital expenditure (purchases) by region compared with population and movements over the last 5 years.

27 Jun 2018 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J3163.46

The Drift To Part-Time Employment

Statistical Note on trends in part-time employment - Analysis Trends 2006 - 2016.

12 Jun 2018 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J3150.47

University Development In Cairns

This note analyses data available from the 2016 Census and indicates that among the five Australian cities in the population range 100,000 to 200,000 (Hobart, Townsville, Cairns, Toowoomba, Darwin and Ballarat), in university student numbers and employment, Cairns ranks last, well below all the others and in per capita employment, Cairns was less than half.

12 Jun 2018 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J3150.52

Hospital Funding Cairns Region Compared

Cairns and Hinterland Hospital & Health Service now accounts for the largest number of hospital admissions in regional Queensland.

14 May 2018 Cummings Economics Report CE Ref J3131.50

Cairns Region - Leading Population Growth in Northern Australia and in Regional Queensland

Papers prepared for Cairns Regional Council sets out how the Cairns region has led long-term population growth across the North and in regional Queensland and projects forward to 2050. Importantly, the papers explain why this has happened.

14 Mar 2018 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J3246.48

Population Growth Down Across Northern Australia 2017-18

Cairns region down marginally, but still leading the way.

20 Nov 2017 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J3118.53

Economic Activity Potentially Affected by a Change of Use of Cairns Seaport's Working Port Buffer Zone

A proposal mooted to put community facilities, this time in the form of the proposed extension of the Convention Centre, into the Buffer Zone of the Cairns Seaport "Working Port" rather than other alternatives has raised the question again of the value of trade and jobs accounted for by the general cargo wharves that would potentially be negatively affected.

14 Nov 2017 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J3114B.3

Note on youth and indigenous unemployment in the Cairns region.

This note analyses Census 2016 workforce data which indicates:

  • Youth unemployment rates are about double those for the total population but the Cairns region's rates are no higher than for Queensland overall.
  • The youth and total unemployment rates are extremely high for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population.
  • If the higher proportion of workforce Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander in the Cairns region is taken into account, the Cairns region's youth and total population unemployment rates were lower than the State average.

08 Nov 2017 Research & Statistical Note Ref J3114A.54

Note on employment & unemployment in the Cairns region and other regional areas in Queensland

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Labour Force Series is notoriously inaccurate in providing an indication of employment/unemployment levels and trends at a regional level.

The recent availability of 2016 Census Labour Force data gives an opportunity to check on reliability of the ABS Labour Force Series. The availability of data on registered unemployed receiving unemployment benefits also gives an opportunity to check reliability of movements indicated by the ABS Labour Force Series over the last 12 months.

The analysis in the first note clearly indicates that:

  • The ABS Labour Force unemployment rates recorded at the time of the August 2016 Census were up to 30% wrong at regional level.
  • Over the period 2011 to 2016, the ABS Labour Force Series was invariably inaccurate and at variance with what actually happened to employed workforce. In the Cairns region, the ABS Labour Force Series indicated that the employed workforce fell by 9200 between 2011 and 2016. Census information shows it actually grew by 3300.

The dramatic fall in numbers unemployed showed by the ABS series over the last 12 months is not borne out by figures for registered unemployed on unemployment benefits that actually rose slightly over the same period.

10 Oct 2017 Cummings Economics Report CE Ref J2998.4

Survey : Impact of Higher Electricity Prices on Businesses in Regional Queensland

Compass Research carried out surveys of businesses on the question over the period July to early October 2017 in the four representative regional districts of Queensland.

  • Mareeba : Far North Queensland : Agricultural
  • Southern Downs : Southern Queensland : Agricultural
  • Mt Isa : Western Queensland : Mining
  • Whitsundays : Central/Northern Queensland : Tourism

Copies of the resulting reports including an overall report can be accessed by checking on www.qeun.com.au

01 Oct 2017 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J3032.11

Job Seeker Number

Analysis of latest job seeker numbers indicates that unemployment in the Cairns Region has peeked and is moving back down again, but has been continuing to rise in the Cairns and Rockhampton regions.

26 Jul 2017 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J3090.6

Intercensal Population Growth

Analysis of intercensal population growth by usual place of residence indicated that over the period 2011 to 2016 the long-term pattern in regional Queensland continued with the Cairns/TNQ leading in growth followed by Wide Bay, and across the North the Cairns/TNQ region leading followed by he Northern Territory.

17 Jul 2017 Cairns Economy Presentation CE Ref J2992.5

The New Wave : Keeping it Rolling

Trends & Prospects for the Cairns / Tropical North QLD Regional Economy

Bill Cummings presented his annual review of the economy to the Cairns Chamber of Commerce on 28th July 2017.

15 Mar 2017 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J3071.7

Population Growth 2015-16

The Cairns/Peninsula Australia (Tropical North Queensland) region continued a long-term trend of leading the way in regional population growth across the North and in regional Queensland outside the southeast corner.

14 Mar 2017 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J3101.8

Level of Government building approvals major Northern Australian Regions

Illustrates the extremely low level of comparative Government Building Approvals in the Cairns Region over the past 5 years.

13 Mar 2017 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J3100.9

Newspaper readership

Gives latest data on newspaper readership of major regional dallies indicating that the Cairns Post is right up there with Canberra, Townsville and ahead of Geelong & Sunshine Coast paper.

15 Feb 2017 Cairns Economy Presentation CE Ref J2992.10

Learning the Economic Lessons of the Past 10 Years

Address to the Cairns Forum for Business Growth (F4BG) outlining how the Cairns Economy has been heavily influenced and damaged by decisions at national and state level affecting fiscal and monetary policy, the Australian dollar and government spending levels in the region.

15 Nov 2016 Cairns Economy Presentation CE Ref J3028.12

The Cairns Regional Economy Achieving Lift Off!

A Review of the Cairns Economy provided to the Cairns Chamber of Commerce

14 Nov 2016 Cairns Economy Presentation CR Ref J3015.13

Cairns, Economy, Presentation

W S (Bill) Cummings presented a review of the Cairns Economy to the Cairns Professional Accountants Association.

16 Aug 2016 Media Article CE Ref J3001.55

Cairns and Ageing

The following is a comment provided to the Cairns Sun.

Cairns has one of the lowest proportions of population 65 plus of Australia’s leading 15 cities at 10.0%, well below State average of 13.2% and Australia’s average of 14.0%.

17 Jul 2016 Cairns Economy Presentation CE Ref J2992.56

Achieving Lift Off - Trends & Prospects for the Cairns / Tropical North QLD Economy

Bill Cummings presented his annual review of the economy to the Cairns Chamber of Commerce on 26th July 2016.

12 Jun 2016 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2909.57

Queensland Budget Analysis

This note analyses the Queensland budget capital expenditure by regions (Statistical Area Level 4). It indicates that again the Cairns region had the lowest per capita spending outside of Greater Brisbane area and that, far from being a budget for regional Queensland, the increase in 2016-17 on 2015-16 was 12.9% for Brisbane, Gold Coast, Sunshine Coast compared with regional Queensland 4.5%.

10 Apr 2016 Research & Statistical Note Ref J2969.58

Importance and Chinese Tourism and Cruise Ship Hub

Information note Comment for Cairns Post.

China has rapidly emerged over the past five years as the region’s largest single country source of international visitors jumping from 63,000 in 2010 to 174,000 in 2015, an increase of 113,000per annum.

06 Mar 2016 Research & Statistical Note Ref J2971.59

Residential Population Growth - Cairns / Tropical North Region Continues to Lead in the North.

2014-15 was a poor year for growth in regional Queensland outside the South East corner. However the Cairns region continued to consolidate its position as the fastest growing and most populous in the North with the wider Cairns/Tropical North Queensland region including Cairns City, the immediate region and the Peninsula, Torres and Gulf areas increasing by 2,329 to 282,790.

Census 2016 is likely to see 'on-the-ground' population in the Tropical North Queensland region including visitors pass the 300,000 mark.

20 Jan 2016 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2950.60

Cairns long-term population statistics 1891-2011

An update of a Statistical Note prepared earlier that now brings the data up to 2011 (based on the last census count).

28 Nov 2015 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2909.61

2015/16 Queensland Budget and the Cairns Region

Identified that the Cairns region received the lowest per capita budget allocated for capital works in regional Queensland and has suffered the biggest decline in allocations over the past four years.

08 Nov 2015 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2926.62

Queensland Population Growth Coastal Regional Cities and Immediate Hinterlands

This research looks at growth in population 1991-2014 Queensland Statistical Regions Level 4 of Cairns, Townsville, Mackay, Fitzroy and Wide Bay and contrasts the pattern with Queensland Infrastructure Plan forward projections.

06 Nov 2015 Other Presentation CE Ref J2919.63

Douglas Shire in Tourism Development in Tropical North Queensland

Bill Cummings presented an address to the 2015 Douglas Business Forum on Thursday the 12th November 2015 on the vital role of Douglas Shire in the development of tourism in tropical North Queensland.

28 Oct 2015 Other Presentation Ref J2921.64

Address / Presentation - Energy Trends and Issues - Commonwealth Bank Seminar

Addresses the question of energy trends and issues, especially as they affect likely future costs of grid electricity.

14 Oct 2015 Research & Statistical Note Ref J2909.66

QLD Budget Review

The 2015-16 Queensland Budget and the Cairns Region : Indicates that the Cairns region received the lowest per capita allocation for capital spending in regional Queensland.

14 Oct 2015 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref .67

Cairns/Tropical North Queensland Reaches 300,000 Population Milestone

The Cairns based Tropical North Queensland "on the ground" population has passed a major milestone.

At the time of the 2011 Census, ‘on the ground’ population count was 293,000. Residential and visitor population has grown since then and on current trends can be expected to record, in next year’s census, an ‘on the ground’ population of the order of 310,000.

At the time of the 2011 Census, the ‘on the ground’ population was distributed: Cairns, Cassowary Coast and Tablelands area 252,000, Peninsula and Gulf 40,000.

The ‘on the ground’ 2011 Census count for the Cairns/Tropical North Queensland region of 292,000 compares with the other major northern regions of Townsville/Mt Isa region of 257,000 and Northern Territory of 234,000.

12 Oct 2015 Research & Statistical Note Ref J2894.65

Outback QLD Statistical Division gives population serviced by major regional cities

As population grows in the North, Cairns has emerged in recent years as the leading regional city in Queensland servicing Queensland’s Outback Statistical Divisions, that covers the majority of the State.

10 Aug 2015 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2896.68

Agriculture in the Cairns/Tropical North Queensland Region

Provides a brief note on the new wave of agricultural development now taking place in the region.

23 Jul 2015 Research & Statistical Note Ref J2894.70

Cairns region is now among Australia's top fruit growing regions.

The Cairns region is now the third largest fruit growing region in Australia with a value of production in 2012-13 recorded at over $500 million.

15 Jul 2015 Other Presentation Ref J2836.71

The Tropical Turnaround and Its Implications for the Australian Economy

Paper presented to the Urban and Regional Economics Section of the Australian Conference of Economists held at Queensland University of Technology, 9th July 2015.

14 Jul 2015 Cairns Economy Presentation CE Ref J2776.69

The Cairns Economy and the New Economic Fundamentals - Getting Beyond the Uncertainties

Bill Cummings presented his annual address to the Cairns Chamber of Commerce on 28th July 2015, with assistance of a ppt presentation.

18 Jun 2015 Cummings Economics Report Ref J2865.72

Cairns Shipping Development Project

Cummings Economics provided a submission to the Office of the Coordinator-General commenting on the draft EIS for the Cairns Shipping Development Project, especially on economic aspects.

20 May 2015 Cummings Economics Report Ref J2806.73

Long-Term Population Trends in Regional Queensland and Northern Australia

Cummings Economics prepared two research papers for Cairns Regional Council identifying long-term population trends:

  • In Queensland's regions outside the south-east corner;
  • In the regions of northern Australia.

The trends are analysed over the 35-year period 1976 to the last figures verified by the 2011 Census and the 20-year 1991 to 2011 and 10-year 2001 to 2011 periods.

They illustrate the leading role in long-term population growth of the Cairns and Wide Bay Burnett regions in Queensland, and the Cairns region and Northern Territory across the North.

Analysis of regional city growth shows similar patterns.

The papers comment on why the patterns have been occurring and provide estimates of 2050 populations based on the 35, 20 and 10-year trajectories continuing.

16 Feb 2015 Cairns Economy Presentation CE Ref J2840.74

The Cairns Economy and the New Economic Fundamentals

Bill Cummings addressed the Cairns Forum for Business Growth highlighting the favourable impacts on the Cairns economy of a lower dollar and lower interest rates and the surge of new investment taking place.

14 Feb 2015 Other Presentation CE Ref J2833.75

What has been driving Queensland's Growth?

The State of Queensland has grown faster than New South Wales and Victoria in recent decades. Why?

This note comments on an erroneous view put forward by the Mayors of South East Queensland - a view that if followed, would cramp Queensland's progress, including the process of Brisbane continuing to close up on Sydney and Melbourne as a competitor metropolitan service centre.

The real direct economic reason is that Queensland has massively increased earnings from the rest of the world outside of Queensland.

The origin of almost all of that increase has been outside of Brisbane and the south east, in northern and central Queensland and the West.

06 Feb 2015 Cummings Economics Report CE Ref J2809.76

Helping get electricity prices down

Because of monopolistic situations in electricity distribution, the sector is subject to a high degree of government regulation - regulation at both Federal and State levels that applies whether operations are being carried out by publicly or privately owned operations.

The Australian Energy Regulator (AER) is currently enquiring into what revenue caps should be placed on the Queensland distribution networks operated by Energex and Ergon over the period 2015-2020.

The following gives submissions prepared by Cummings Economics for a network of electricity users in Far North Queensland and those of some other organisations.

The submission highlights that lying behind sharp rises in electricity costs in recent years, has been shortcomings in the regulatory process for 2010-2015.

It illustrates that the big rises in electricity costs are damaging to the Far North's economy and causing contraction in demand that, in turn, is leading to further price rises.

It argues that not only must prices be curtailed, they must be brought down in real terms.

02 Feb 2015 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2835.77

Note on Recent Exchange Rate Movements

A drop in the value of the Australian dollar against the US dollar is overall, good for Cairns. However the falls were not as strong across all currencies.

The fall against the US dollar of 17.5 per cent is roughly paralleled by the fall against the Chinese yuan of 16.4 per cent (China has had a policy of maintaining parity with the US dollar but allowing small upward appreciations).

24 Dec 2014 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2811.78

Population of Northern Australia Now Approaching 6% of Australian Total

Growth rate of population of Northern Australia has been out pacing that of Southern Australia and is now approaching 6% of the total.

14 Dec 2014 Other CE Ref J2793.79

Understanding Our Part of the World - Statistical Tables / Charts / Maps

As part of preparation for the Cairns G20 Finance Ministers Conference, Cummings Economics prepared for Cairns Post, some 14 key statistical charts, maps and comments that the region's businesses and organisations are free to use. (We would appreciate attribution.)

12 Dec 2014 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2785.81

Australian Government Green Paper on Northern Australia

Cummings Economics provided a response to the Green Paper on Northern Australia, inter alia, calling for a clearer recognition of the development now taking place in the tropics around the globe (including Australia), the reasons unpinning this long term trend and its implications for tropical Australia.

12 Dec 2014 CE Ref J2810.83

Cairns Region's Position in Manufacturing in Northern Australia

The Cairns Region plays a much stronger role in manufacturing in Northern Australia than many people recognise. The Cairns region has 40% more manufacturing businesses than the next largest, the Townsville region. The region is especially strong in skills based manufacturing (as opposed to mineral processing), and in diversified primary product processing.

02 Dec 2014 Research & Statistical Note Ref J2785.84

Australian Government Green Paper on Northern Australia

Cummings Economics provided a response to the Green Paper on Northern Australia, interalia, calling for a clearer recognition of the development now taking place in the tropics around the globe (including Australia), the reasonsunpinning this long term trend and its implications for tropical Australia.

26 Nov 2014 Cummings Economics Report CE Ref J2754.82

Northern Queensland Strategy

Cummings Economics completed during 2014, preparation of a North Queensland Strategy Report for the combined Regional Development Australia covering Fitzroy and Central West, Mackay-Isaac-Whitsunday, Townsville North West and Far North Torres Strait.

The report provided Business Cases for the development of:

  • Regional Roads (other than for the Bruce Highway)
  • Agricultural Distribution Hubs
  • Regional Aviation Services

22 Nov 2014 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2809.80

Note on Recent Exchange Rate Movements

A drop in the value of the Australian dollar against the US dollar is overall, good for Cairns. However the falls were not as strong across all currencies.

08 Jun 2014 Research & Statistical Note Ref J2780.86

A Note on Urban Growth in Northern Australia - Countering Unrealistic Suggestions

There have been suggestions recently that population growth in Northern Australia would be best promoted by concentrating on building up one city as a ‘metropolitan’ centre with Darwin, Townsville (or Cairns) being canvassed. This suggestion is unrealistic.

This note sets out how these suggestions are unrealistic. They ignore geographic and economic realities, that the North's combined urban centres have been growing at a faster percentage rate than the southern metropolitan centres and much faster than most regional cities.
The note sets out what appropriate policies should be for urban development in Northern Australia.

06 Jun 2014 CE Ref J2776.85

Cairns Economy Trends and Prospects

Bill Cummings presented his annual review of the Cairns Economy to the Cairns Chamber of Commerce, noting the upswing now underway and prospects, especially with the proposed Aquis project, of a sustained growth period that could be compared with the upswing over the 12 years 1984 to 1996.

12 Feb 2014 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2738.87

Life Expectancies in Tropical Australia Equivalent to the Rest of Australia

The Statistical Note prepared by Cummings Economics sets out information demonstrating that life expectancies in tropical Australia are equivalent to the rest of Australia. The paper sets out how life expectancies are low across Australia for the indigenous population, especially in remote areas. It illustrates that life expectancies across Australia for the non-indigenous population are about the same in tropical Australia as in southern Australia. Any apparent difference in life expectancies in tropical Australia is due to a higher proportion of indigenous population. A more detailed research paper is being developed for later release.

Cairns Post story

04 Feb 2014 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2701.89

Cairns Amateurs Economic Impact

Cummings Economics have been pleased to again complete an assessment of expenditure generated by Cairns Amateurs in the Cairns Economy.

20 Jan 2014 Cummings Economics Report CE Ref J2571.88

Innisfail Airport Strategic Plan

A Cummings Economics led team including AITS (Aerodrome Inspection & Training Services, Victoria) and Thirkell Consulting Engineers completed Strategic Planning for Innisfail (Mundoo) Airport during 2013 for the Cassowary Coast Regional Council.

18 Dec 2013 Cummings Economics Report CE Ref J2681.90

Estimates of Cairns Region Fly-in/Fly-Out Workforce

Cummings Economics was pleased to prepare a paper giving estimates of the extent to which the Cairns region had developed as a base for fly-in/fly-out workforce for Skills DMC and Advance Cairns

10 Dec 2013 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2589.91

University Education in Cairns – A Comparative Analysis

This research paper provides an analysis of how the level of university education being achieved in Cairns compared with other regions in Australia based on analysis of 2011 Census data, data from the relevant Commonwealth Department, on enrollments and data from the Queensland Tertiary Admissions Centre. It indicates Cairns is lagging badly behind national averages per head of population and averages for regional cities with university campuses. A recent Addendum analysing James Cook University’s management structure indicates that only six out of 54 staff positions are based at the Cairns Campus.

23 Jul 2013 Cairns Economy Presentation Ref J2683.98

The Cairns Economy Trends and Prospects

Bill Cummings presented his annual review of the Cairns Economy to the Cairns Chamber of Commerce saying that "Underlying prospects for the Cairns Regional Economy are looking better than they have been since the Global Finnancial Crises five years ago in 2008".

30 Jun 2013 Media Article CE Ref .92

Hinchinbrook Chamber of Commerce – Inaugural Economic Profile

Cummings Economics was pleased to provide editorial and statistics for the Hinchinbrook Chamber of Commerce - Inaugural Economic Profile.

28 Jun 2013 CE Ref J2695.93

Economic Cost of Alcohol Related Violence

Bill Cummings was pleased to assist the Queensland Police, Cairns, by preparing and delivering a short note on the cost of alcohol related violence to a conference in Cairns.

10 Jun 2013 Other Presentation CE Ref J2630.94

Mining Industry & The Cairns Economy

Bill Cummings presented the key address to the second Cairns and Mining Conference held at the Cairns Convention Centre in June 2013. For further details of the conference and papers delivered see link www.cummings.net.au/cairnsandmining

02 Jun 2013 Other CE Ref J2630.95

Cairns & Mining Conference

Cummings Economics with the support of Cairns Regional Council and others organised the second Cairns and Mining Conference at the Cairns Convention Centre in June 2013 with an attendance of over 200 delegates from local businesses, from around Australia and from Papua New Guinea. The link below gives full details of the conference including papers including those presented by the PNG Government, Queensland Government, Queensland Resources Council Wafi Golpu, Brett Duck of Australian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy, on aspects relating to shipping, aviation, education and training. www.cummings.net.au/cairnsandmining

30 Apr 2013 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2670.96

Maritime Industry Employment in Northern Australia – Statistical Note

New census data available indicates the leading role of the Cairns/Far North Queensland region in employment in the maritime industries in northern Australia.

22 Mar 2013 Compass Research Report CR Ref J2646.97

Research into Proposed De-amalgamation Cost Mareeba Shire

The potential cost of the proposed de-amalgamation of Mareeba Shire from the Tablelands Regional Council became an important issue during the lead up to the de-amalgamation referendum. Cummings Economics prepared a review of the study on potential de-amalgamation costs of Mareeba Shire prepared by the Queensland Treasury Corporation based on a brief from the Queensland Boundaries Commissioner.

22 Nov 2012 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2612.101

Importance of Cattle Industry in Northern Australia Research Note

In the light of the debate about live cattle exports, Cummings Economics was asked to prepare brief estimates of the value of the industry.

29 Oct 2012 Cairns Economy Presentation CE Ref J2558.99

Recent Trends & Prospects in a Diversified Far North Queensland Economy

The address identifies that the region’s ‘outside earnings’ have turned a corner after a slump in tourism earnings with all major sectors of tourism, agriculture, mining, defence and other services, along with import replacement sectors in higher education and health, trending upwards again. ABS data was showing an upswing in employed workforce.

29 Oct 2012 Cummings Economics Report CE Ref J2493.100

Tropical Green Build – Capability Plan & Directory

Cummings Economics with the support of Greenbuild Cairns & Eco Savvy Townsville have completed a major review for the Queensland Government of the capability of businesses in the Tropical North QLD region based on Cairns & Townsville, with united expertise in Tropical Green Building & related services based on input of over 100 firms in the field.

Capability Plan, Advancing Tropical Green Build Connecting Tropical North Queensland to Market - Executive Summary.

Advancing Tropical Greenbuild Business Directory (with listing of over 100 firms) (available from Greenbuild website)

14 Oct 2012 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2606.102

Regional City & Servicing Area Populations in Tropical Australia 2011

Recently released post census revised estimated residential populations provide an opportunity to review comparative sizes of cities and the regional populations they service.

02 Oct 2012 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2606.103

Estimate of Impact of Commonwealth Marine Reserve on the Cairns / Far North Regional Economy

Cairns Regional Council asked Cummings Economics to review Commonwealth Government estimates and report on the potential economic impacts of proposed Marine Reserves. Council submission and full report can be found on the Council website. Summary of findings is givin below.

24 Jul 2012 Other Presentation CE Ref J2558.104

PNG Gas Developments Conference - Cairns

Bill Cummings presented an address to the conference "The Tropical South West Pacific - Economic Opportunities and Challenges".

26 Jun 2012 Cairns Economy Presentation CE Ref J2572.105

The Cairns Economy – Trends & Prospects

Bill Cummings presented his annual address to the Cairns Chamber of Commerce on the Cairns Economy saying that he was hopeful that the 2011/12 would prove to be a low point for growth and that 2012/13 would see the growth rate starting to pick up again.

27 May 2012 Ref J2471.106

The Tablelands Economy

Bill Cummings presented to the Mareeba Chamber of Commerce 2012 Annual Economic Forum an address launching the Chambers Annual Economic Snapshot "The Tablelands Moving Ahead - Growing Our Resilient Economy" on Wed 6th June 2012, Mareeba International Club.

22 May 2012 Cummings Economics Report CE Ref J2490.108

Economic Impact of Cairns Amateurs

Cairns Amateurs is not only an important event of the region’s social calendar, it generates substantial expenditure in the community by visitors as well as locals.

Cummings Economics was pleased to be able to research and report on the value of the Amateurs, a summary of which is given below.

15 May 2012 Cummings Economics Report CE Ref J2452.107

Economic Activity Generated by Rugby League in the Cairns Regional Economy

As part of a forward strategy developed by Kleinhardt Business Consultants, for Cairns and District Rugby League and Skill360 Northern Pride RLFC, Cummings Economics have carried out research to identify the extent of activities and expenditure generated by the Rugby League code in the Cairns/Far North region. Summary of main findings is given below.

29 Apr 2012 Cummings Economics Report CE Ref J2382.109

Future Workforce Needs in the Cairns Economy

North Australia Research Group / Cummings Economics have been pleased to meet requests by Cairns Regional Council to carry out a study to identify likely future workforce needs in Cairns on a 5 to 10-year time frame.

Bill Cummings presented the report and a powerpoint overview to councilors and others from employment, educatioon & training & development agencies on 20th April 2012.

20 Apr 2012 Cummings Economics Report CE Ref J2545.110

The Cairns Story : Some Comparisons With Townsville & other Northern & Regional Cities

This 51 page document provides a geographical and historical background to the growth of the Cairns regional economy, its early and more recent growth including comparisons with the growth of Townsville and other northern and regional cities.

It then goes on to provide a demographic and economic statistical comparison of the cities of Cairns and Townsville.

18 Apr 2012 Cummings Economics Report CE Ref J2494.111

The Outback Way : A Third Trans Continental East West Route Across Australia

Cummings Economics have been pleased to carry out research to update an economic and social impact and benefit cost analysis of the proposal to create direct sealed road route from Western Queensland (Winton) through the Red Centre to Western Australia (Laverton) (The Outback Way).

The study indicates that the upgraded road will have massive benefits in directly linking Australia’s major mining areas in Western Australia and Queensland, reducing transcontinental freight costs for tourism and for the improvement of prospects for Indigenous communities along the route.

02 Apr 2012 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2551.112

Value Of Mining In Far North Queensland Up In 2010/11 : Research Note

Records the continuing growth of value of mining in Far North Queensland to reach the $1bn mark.

29 Mar 2012 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2550.113

2010/11 Population Figures Cairns & Far North Qld

Records the slowing of the city and region’s population growth, but the region’s continued leadership in population in northern Australia.

12 Mar 2012 CE Ref J2543.114

The Position Of Far North Queensland In Manufacturing In Regional Queensland

This brief note records the comparative strength of manufacturing in Far North Queensland, in leading northern Australia in number of manufacturing locations, and in turnover being 77% of the Townsville region and on a par with the Rockhampton/Gladstone area.

05 Mar 2012 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2542.115

International Visitors

This research note records that the drop in international holiday purpose visitors to Queensland destinations since 2005 has been worse than national averages.

20 Dec 2011 Other Presentation CE Ref J2471.116

Being Tropical : The Positives & Negatives For Regional Development

Bill Cummings presented a paper to the Australia & New Zealand Regional Science Association Conference in Canberra in December 2011 on the above subject.

05 Dec 2011 Cummings Economics Report CE Ref J2469.117

Improved Access to the Kimberley Region

Cummings Economics have been pleased to carry out research for the Shire of Halls Creek to update economic impact benefit/cost analysis for proposals to upgrade the Tanami Road (Alice Springs to Halls Creek) as a more direct route between the south and the Kimberley region for freight, Ord produce, tourism and cattle movements and to service mining development along the road that are currently expanding to be worth about $1bn per annum.

24 Nov 2011 CE Ref J2511.118

The Tablelands & A Changed World Economy

Bill Cummings presented an address to the recently reconstituted Atherton District Chamber of Commerce that outlined some of the major implications of the rapid industrialisation taking place in China and India for the region’s economy, including the negative impact of a high Australian dollar on tourism, the increased demand for mining and basic agricultural products taking place and the need for the region to react with improved seaport and connecting land transport infrastructure.

21 Oct 2011 Other Presentation Ref J2462.119

Can Cairns Become A Major Mining Services Centre Again

Bill Cummings presented a paper at the “Cairns and Mining Conference” outlining Cairns history as a mining services centre, the expanding value of mining activity taking place in the region including the income being derived from fly-in services to mines outside the region and through supply of goods by ship to mining in the wider area serviced by Cairns across northern Australia, in Papua New Guinea and Papua Indonesia.

Copies of other papers presented to the conference can be accessed by going to Cairns and Mining 2011 Program

.

21 Oct 2011 Other Presentation CE Ref J2462.120

Current Infrastructure & the Limitations It Presents To A Growing Far North Queensland Mining Industry

In this paper presented to the “Cairns and Mining Conference 2011”, Bill Cummings identifies a need for the region to upgrade its seaport and land transport infrastructure to benefit from the current high global demand for minerals and energy and development taking place in the immediate Cairns/Tablelands hinterland, the Peninsula, and further afield in Central and Northern Queensland, the Northern Territory, Papua New Guinea and Papua Indonesia.

Copies of other papers presented to the conference can be accessed by going to Cairns and Mining 2011 Program.

08 Aug 2011 Cairns Economy Presentation CE Ref J2478.121

Annual Presentation to the Cairns Chamber of Commerce

Bill cummings presented his annual address to the Cairns Chamber of Commerce on the Cairns Economy titled "Economic Prospects in a changed Global Economy".

08 Aug 2011 Other Presentation CE Ref J2475.123

Are Impacts Broader than Beef

Bill Cummings presented an address to the Live Exports Ban Impacts - Pratical Recovery & Restructure Conference Georgetown on 12th August 2011 on the subject "Are Impacts Broader than Beef - The Value of the Beef Industry to the Regional Economy" Link to Agenda

22 Jul 2011 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref .124

Cairns’ Hinterland Population Outstripping that of Townsville by a Wide Margin

Latest population statistics indicate the degree to which Cairns is now the capital of the north Australia’s most populous and fastest growing region. Over the period, 2001 to 2010, the region’s residential population grew by 51,000 to 280,000 compared with the Townsville region growth of 41,000 to 261,000.

Cairns’ hinterland population grew by 13,000 from 116,000 to 129,000 compared with Townsville’s hinterland that grew by 3,000 only to stand at 88,000. Cairns’ hinterland population is now 41,000 or 50% more than that of Townsville.

The two cities however each grew by 38,000.

Growth in Estimated Residential Population, 2001 to 2010

2001 2010 Growth No. % Growth
Townsville 134,072 172,316 38,243 0.29
Cairns 112,932 150,920 37,988 0.34
Townsville Hinterland 85,475 88,403 2,938 0.03
Cairns Hinterland 116,292 129,229 12,935 0.11
Total Townville Area 219,547 260,719 41,172 0.19
Total Cairns Area 22,9224 28,0149 50,925 0.22

Note: Cairns region defined as Far North Qld Statistical Division plus Gulf Shires of North West Division. Townsville region defined as Northern Statistical Division plus Mt Isa & North W

30 Jun 2011 Other Presentation CE Ref J2423.125

Relations Between Australia & Papua New Guinea in an Age of Opportunity

On 16th June, Bill Cummings presented an address to the PNG Gas Developments Conference held in Cairns on the subject “Relations Between Australia & Papua New Guinea in an Age of Opportunity” that highlighted the growing economic strengths of the northern regions of Australia and their growing role in strengthening relations between Australia and PNG.

22 Jun 2011 Other Presentation CE Ref J2456.122

Sorting out the Far Norths Logistics

Bill Cummings presented an address to the Mareeba Chamber of Commerce Tablelands Economic Forum on 29th July 2011 that emphasised the need in the current changed world economy to upgrade road, rail & seaport transport infrastructure in the region with particular emphasis on the need to upgrade the Kuranda Range Road to take B-Double size freight vehicles if renewed opportunities for mining & agricultural expansions were to be realised.

04 Apr 2011 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2435.127

ABS 2009/10 Population Figures - Good News for Cairns Region

Latest ABS residential population data recording 2.6% growth in 2009/10 for Cairns & 2.0% for the Cairns Region (Far North Queensland) statistical division area. Good news for the Cairns Economy

19 Mar 2011 Other Presentation CE Ref J2416.128

Tablelands – Economic Snapshot

Bill Cummings presented an address to the Mareeba Chamber of Commerce at the launch of the Mareeba Chamber Annual Report "Strength in Diversity - An Economic Snapshot". For copies of the report contact Mareeba Chamber of Commerce, Tel 40926050 or promotion@mareebachamber.com.au

09 Mar 2011 Cairns Economy Presentation CE Ref J2446.126

Economic Prospects for Cairns Over the Next Few Years

Bill Cummings presented an address on “Economic Prospects for Cairns Over the Next Few Years” to the Cairns Board of the Chamber of Commerce & Industry Q’ld on 8th April and the Board of Regional Development Australia FNQ & Torres Strait on 29th April.

13 Sep 2010 Other Presentation CE Ref J2315.130

The Primary Industries in the Regional Economies of Northern Queensland

Bill Cummings presented a paper to the AGInvest Forum, CAIRNS 2010, giving details of the full value of the primary industries (agriculture, livestock, fishing and forest industries), in the Far North, North and North West Statistical Divisions. The research included both pre farm-gate and post farm-gate activities including processing, transport, merchanting, and other value added and associated government and education services. The study values the sector’s turnover at $3.3bn with direct employment of over 17,000 with ‘flow-on’ employment generated estimated at a further 21,000. It is estimated that the sector’s value add to the regional economy including ‘flow-on’ impacts accounts for about 14% of Gross Regional Value Added.

For a full copy of the Research Paper The Contribution of the Primary Industries Sector to Northern Queensland Regional Economies.

31 Aug 2010 Cummings Economics Report CE Ref J2288.131

Cairns & Far North Q’ld – Mining & Industrial Services Opportunity Study – 2010 Update

Cummings Economics have recently completed an update of their ground breaking study into service opportunities in the mining sector across northern Australia (Mackay, Pilbara northwards) and into Papua New Guinea and Papua Indonesia.

30 Aug 2010 Other Presentation CE Ref RefJ2358.132

North Queensland Resources Development, 3rd Annual Conference, Townsville

Bill Cummings presented a paper to the North Queensland Resources Conference entitled Mining & Industrial Services Opportunity Study 2010 Update that outlines the background to the main findings from the study.

16 Aug 2010 Cairns Economy Presentation CE Ref J2368.133

2010 Presentation on the Cairns Regional Economy to the Cairns Chamber of Commerce

Bill Cummings presented his annual review of the Cairns’ regional economy to a Cairns Chamber of Commerceluncheon on 24th August 2010.

05 Aug 2010 Other Presentation CE Ref J2366.134

The Cairns Region’s Contribution to Queensland’s Population Growth

Bill Cummings presented a paper to a seminar conducted by the Queensland Government Planning Information & Forecasting Unit in Cairns on 5th August 2010. The paper aims to briefly illustrate the long-term pattern of population growth in regional Queensland over the last three decades. It illustrates how the State’s previously underdeveloped northern regions and cities have grown fastest especially the higher rainfall cities & regions of Cairns and Mackay.

02 Aug 2010 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2309.135

Cairns Tourism & The Economy – The Coming Bounce Back

Cummings Economics prepared a paper based on information to February 2010 identifying why Cairns’ tourism and the economy could be expected to move back into growth progressively during 2010.

20 Apr 2010 CE Ref J2247.136

A Direct Route to the Kimberley Region

Cummings Economics have been pleased to carry out for the Halls Creek Shire WA an economic impact / benefit cost report on the upgrading of the Tanami Road, linking the Kimberley region direct via major mining operations to Alice Springs and Australia’s major population and industry base in south eastern Australia.

30 Mar 2010 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2335.137

Note on Population Growth 2008/09

Looks at the latest Australian Bureau of Statisticspopulation estimates for major regions and cities across Northern Australia.

14 Mar 2010 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2321.138

Note re ABS Employment Unemployment figures

Comments on recent trends in the Australian Bureau of Statistics labour force series, recent and likely future trends.

07 Mar 2010 Cummings Economics Report CE Ref J2332.139

Submission re Wild Rivers legislation

A personal submission to the Senate Legal and Constitutional Commitee enquiry into the QLD Wild Rivers legislation, particularly on the underlying potential of the Cape for agricultural and pastoral development.

05 Mar 2010 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2307.140

Value of and Prospects for Agriculture in Far North Queensland (Peninsula Australia)

This paper briefly canvasses the value of agriculture in the regional economy, its historical challenges, contributions to recent growth and future prospects.

27 Nov 2009 Cummings Economics Report CE Ref J2103.141

Marine Industry Capability Profile

The aim of this report is to provide a capability profile of the Far North Queensland region’s marine industries, including their competitive and comparative advantages, and any deficits or gaps.

06 Oct 2009 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2276.142

Note on Comparative Transient Population Levels, Australian Cities

There is a widespread myth that Cairns has a highly transient population. Certainly, Cairns has a high level of visitor population, some of whom will seek work during their visit, especially backpackers. However, when population excluding visitors is looked at, a very different picture emerges.

10 Sep 2009 Cummings Economics Report Ref J2193.143

Economic Impact of James Cook University

Prepared in association with D.S Enterprises, Townsville.

31 Aug 2009 Research & Statistical Note Ref J2269.144

Research Note - Manufacturing

Latest ABS statistics indicate Cairns / Far North Queensland region recorded a strong growth in manufacturing 2001/02 to 2006/07 and continues to lead the north in number of manufacturing locations.

26 Aug 2009 Cairns Economy Presentation CE Ref J2250.145

Cairns Chamber of Commerce Annual Review

Bill Cummings presented his annual review of recent movements and short to medium term prospects of the Cairns economy at the August luncheon for the Cairns Chamber of Commerce, entitled "Understanding the Challenges"

13 Aug 2009 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2264.146

Cairns Arrives on List of Australia's Main Cities

The once remote tropical outpost of 60 years ago with a population of 16,000 in 1947 has now made it to the list of Australia's main cities.

13 Aug 2009 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref J2218.148

Note on Population Growth in the North, 2007/08

Recently released Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) data for estimated residential population for 2007/08 reveal the extent of the strong economic growth taking place across the north in the 12 months up to June 2008.

07 Aug 2009 Other Presentation CE Ref J2239.147

Mareeba Chamber of Commerce Economic Development Forum

Bill Cummings' presentation to the forum on 31st July 2009 entitled, "Tablelands, Cape & Gulf, Economic Challenges & Opportunities".

02 Dec 2008 Other Presentation CE Ref J2162.149

Address to Weipa Chamber of Commerce

Bill Cummings presented an address to the Weipa Chamber of Commerce in Weipa, 2nd December 2008.

02 Dec 2008 Cairns Economy Presentation CE Ref J2185.150

2008 Annual Address to Cairns Chamber of Commerce

Bill Cummings presented his annual address to the Cairns Chamber of Commerce on current trends in the Cairns economy, 25th November 2008.

25 Nov 2008 Other Presentation CE Ref J2156.151

Address to Flinders Shire Water Development Forum, Hughenden

Bill Cummings presented a paper on behalf of the North Australia Research Group on the "Social and Economic Benefits of Irrigation Developments in the Flinders River Catchment", 18 th November 2008.

18 Nov 2008 Cummings Economics Report Ref .152

Use of Economic Multipliers in Regional Areas and Government Services

This note to the Australian and New Zealand Regional Science Association Newsletter identifies important limitations of multipliers in relation to State and Federal Government service provisions.

12 Nov 2008 Other Presentation CE Ref J2183.153

Address to Civil Contractors Federation, Cairns

Bill Cummings presented an address to the Civil Contractors Federation in Cairns , 12th November 2008.

31 Oct 2008 Other Presentation CE Ref J2154.154

Address to James Cook University Tourism Symposium, Cairns

Bill Cummings presented an address entitled “The Decisive Role of Small to Medium Sized Firms in the Development of Tourism in Queensland ’s Tropical North”, 31 st October 2008.

31 Oct 2008 Other Presentation CE Ref J2123.155

Address to Mareeba Chamber of Commerce – Inaugural Economic Development Forum

Bill Cummings presented an address entitled “The Tablelands - One Big Economy – Breakdown of Towns, Current Activity and Future Projects”, 14 th August 2008

24 Jul 2008 Cairns Economy Presentation CE Ref J2130.156

Address to Certified Practising Accountants, Cairns

Bill Cummings presented an address entitled “Cairns Economy - Realities, Successes, Failures and Lessons – Where To From Here?”

20 Jun 2008 Cummings Economics Report Ref J2070.157

Cairns Far Northern Queensland Mining Services Study

The study was carried out for DEEDI and the Cairns Chamber of Commerce. It identifies operating and proposed mines and exploration activity across Northern Australia, Papua New Guinea and Eastern Indonesia, current air services to mines and opportunities to provide services especially workforce based on research in the first half of 2008.

08 May 2008 Ref .158

Note on "Estimated Residential Population Growth", 2006/07

04 Sep 2007 Cairns Economy Presentation CE Ref J1990.159

2007 Annual Address to the Cairns Chamber of Commerce

Bill Cummings presented his annual address to the Cairns Chamber of Commerce on current trends in the Cairns' economy on Tuesday 28th August, 2007.

20 Apr 2007 Cummings Economics Report Ref .160

The Torres Strait Economy & prospects

Cummings Economics carried out a wide ranging study into the economy of the Torres Strait area that sought to identify opportunities. Report on Economic Opportunities & Supplementary Report.

24 Oct 2006 Cairns Economy Presentation CE Ref .161

2006 Annual Address to the Cairns Chamber of Commerce

Bill Cummings presented his annual address to the Cairns Chamber of Commerce on current trends in the Cairns' economy on Tuesday 24th October, 2006.

31 Aug 2006 Cummings Economics Report CE Ref .166

Direct Freight & Road Route Cairns to Melbourne

The Hann Highway Action Group has presented to the Queensland Minister for Main Roads a report prepared by W S Cummings entitled “The Hann Highway Development Report – An Economic Impact Cost Benefit Analysis of Upgrading the Lynd Hughenden Section of the Kennedy Developmental Road”. The link is the last unsealed section of a direct inland route from the Cairns/Tablelands area to Melbourne and Adelaide. Its sealing will provide :

  • Major freight efficiencies for movement of produce from the Cairns/Tablelands region to markets in Melbourne and Adelaide and reverse movements.
  • Major benefits for movement of cattle between the north and fattening areas and feedlots in the south.
  • A major improvement in direct tourism links between the Cairns region and Queensland ’s outback region and the Alice Springs/Red Centre area.

27 Jul 2006 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref .162

Note on Manufacturing in the Cairns Region.

Australian Bureau of Statistics data has recently become available for 2001/02 on manufacturing at a regional level that throws light on the position of manufacturing in the Cairns region. Most recent previous data was for 1996/97.

26 Jun 2006 Cairns Economy Presentation CE Ref .163

Airfreight Exports from Northern & Far North Queensland

Cummings Economics has been pleased to complete, in conjunction with Advance Cairns, a study and report for the Airfreight Council of Queensland on airfreight exports from the Cairns, northern Queensland area.

The study indicated a high proportion of the region’s fishery output was being exported by air via Cairns airport, especially to Asian markets. Relatively little diversion was taking place via Brisbane and Sydney airports except for commodities for North American, Middle East and European markets not serviced with direct flights out of Cairns.

In strong contrast however, a large diversion of fruit and vegetables was found to be taking place to be exported via Brisbane and Sydney airports with Cairns airport accounting for only 13% of the region’s fruit and vegetable exported by air. Factors found to be causing this included:

  • Availability of special ‘negotiated’ freight rates through Sydney and Brisbane airports not available via Cairns airport combined with relatively low road transport costs to Brisbane and Sydney.
  • The relatively narrow range of fruit and vegetables able to be exported to Japan, a market in which the Cairns region has an air freight services advantage over other Australian sources.
  • Seasonality of crops like mangoes and lack of capacity to carry seasonal peaks to markets like Hong Kong and Singapore linked by direct services from Cairns.

For details of availability of the report, contact Cummings Economics on Tel (07) 4031 2888 Email: cummings@cummings.net.au. Full report available from: www.australianairfreight.com 2.4MB PDF

30 Sep 2005 Cairns Economy Presentation CE Ref .164

Address To Cairns Chamber of Commerce

Cairns economist, Bill Cummings, provided his annual assessment of recent trends and short-term prospects for the Cairns economy to the September luncheon meeting of the Cairns Chamber of Commerce.

08 Jul 2005 Cummings Economics Report CE Ref .165

Launch of the Cairns 2020/2050 Business Research Manual Project

Cairns economist, Bill Cummings, provided an outline of the “Cairns 2020/2050 Business Research Manual” project at a special function held at the Cairns City Council Chambers last night. For further details of the project contact Cummings Economics on Tel (07) 4031 2888 Email: cummings@cummings.net.au.

26 Apr 2005 Research & Statistical Note Ref .167

Australian City Growth Patterns 2002 - 2003

This brief paper identifies the changed pattern of growth of Australian cities in recent years.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics recently released their residential population growth estimates for 2002 – 2003.

29 Mar 2005 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref .168

Cairns House Prices

Latest data indicates that Cairns median house prices continued to rise in the December Qtr 2004, but at a slower rate.

29 Mar 2005 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref .169

Building Approvals

Seven months data to January 2005 indicates the Far North Statistical Division is on track to reach record value building approvals in financial year 2004/05.

29 Mar 2005 Research & Statistical Note CE Ref .170

North Australia Population Growth 2003-04

Latest ABS data indicates the Cairns based Far North Statistical Division continued to lead residential population growth in Northern Australia, but that Townsville city growth continues to be ahead of Cairns city.

22 Mar 2005 Research & Statistical Note Ref .171

Population of Cape York Peninsula & Torres Strait Islands is now over the 20,000 mark

After a decade of strong growth, population in Cape York Peninsula and the Torres Straits is now well over the 20,000 mark

22 Mar 2005 Cummings Economics Report CE Ref .172

International Education in the Cairns Region

Study Cairns (an organisation representing the international education providers in the Cairns area) yesterday released a summary of findings of a study into the economic impacts of the international education sector in the Cairns region prepared by Cummings Economics. For further details of Study Cairns, see website www.studycairns.com.au. For summary of report findings.