SOME INFORMATION RELEASES »
Statistical Note - Queensland Budget
This note analyses the Queensland budget capital expenditure by regions (Statistical Area Level 4). It indicates that again the Cairns region had the lowest per capita spending outside of Greater Brisbane area and that, far from being a budget for regional Queensland, the increase in 2016-17 on 2015-16 was 12.9% for Brisbane, Gold Coast, Sunshine Coast compared with regional Queensland 4.5%.
547kb (pdf note) Ref:J2909
Residential Population Growth - Cairns / Tropical North Region Continues to Lead in the North.
2014-15 was a poor year for growth in regional Queensland outside the South East corner. However the Cairns region continued to consolidate its position as the fastest growing and most populous in the North with the wider Cairns/Tropical North Queensland region including Cairns City, the immediate region and the Peninsula, Torres and Gulf areas increasing by 2,329 to 282,790.
Census 2016 is likely to see 'on-the-ground' population in the Tropical North Queensland region including visitors pass the 300,000 mark.
224kb (pdf note) Ref:J2971
Statistical Note: Cairns long-term population statistics 1891-2011.
An update of one prepared earlier that now brings the data up to 2011 (based on the last census count).
315kb (pdf note) Ref:J2950
Statistical Note - 2015/16 Queensland Budget and the Cairns Region.
Identified that the Cairns region received the lowest per capita budget allocated for capital works in regional Queensland and has suffered the biggest decline in allocations over the past four years.
398kb (pdf note) Ref:J2909
Statistical Note - Queensland Population Growth Coastal Regional Cities and Immediate Hinterlands.
This research looks at growth in population 1991-2014 Queensland Statistical Regions Level 4 of Cairns, Townsville, Mackay, Fitzroy and Wide Bay and contrasts the pattern with Queensland Infrastructure Plan forward projections.
231kb (pdf note) Ref:J2926
Douglas Shire in Tourism Development in Tropical North Queensland.
Bill Cummings presented an address to the 2015 Douglas Business Forum on Thursday the 12th November 2015 on the vital role of Douglas Shire in the development of tourism in tropical North Queensland
1.6mb (pdf presentation)
142kb (pdf text) RefJ2919
Address / Presentation - Energy Trends and Issues - Commonwealth Bank Seminar.
Addresses the question of energy trends and issues, especially as they affect likely future costs of grid electricity.
637kb (pdf note) Ref:J2921
5.4mb (ppsx presentation) Ref:J2921
Statistical Note : Outback QLD Statistical Division gives population serviced by major regional cities.
200kb (pdf note)
The Tropical Dimension
Early advice of and invitation to record interest in receiving further information about a book by W S (Bill) Cummings being prepared for publication. The book reviews tropical Australia's development in a global context and the geographical and historical reasons for the lag that occurred in development in tropical areas and how and why that lag is now being overcome.
Record your interest here
Project : Regional Input/Output Multiplier Economic Models
Input/output multiplier tables : North Australia Research Group modified National Data Models have been prepared for the following regions by industry classifications:
Queensland, Tropical North Queensland, Cairns SA4 Region, Tablelands, Cassowary Coast, Douglas, Cook, Gulf.
Copies are available on application for a fee. For further details, contact firstname.lastname@example.org
October, 2015 Statistical Note : QLD Budget
The 2015-16 Queensland Budget and the Cairns Region : Indicates that the Cairns region received the lowest per capita allocation for capital spending in regional Queensland.
211kb (pdf note)
Statistical Note : Cairns/Tropical North Queensland Reaches 300,000 Population Milestone.
The Cairns based Tropical North Queensland "on the ground" population has passed a major milestone.
At the time of the 2011 Census, ‘on the ground’ population count was 293,000. Residential and visitor population has grown since then and on current trends can be expected to record, in next year’s census, an ‘on the ground’ population of the order of 310,000.
At the time of the 2011 Census, the ‘on the ground’ population was distributed: Cairns, Cassowary Coast and Tablelands area 252,000, Peninsula and Gulf 40,000.
The ‘on the ground’ 2011 Census count for the Cairns/Tropical North Queensland region of 292,000 compares with the other major northern regions of Townsville/Mt Isa region of 257,000 and Northern Territory of 234,000.
Agriculture in the Cairns/Tropical North Queensland Region
Provides a brief note on the new wave of agricultural development now taking place in the region.
396kb (pdf note)
The Cairns Economy and the New Economic Fundamentals
"Getting Beyond the Uncertainties"
Bill Cummings presented his annual address to the Cairns Chamber of Commerce
on 28th July 2015, with assistance of a ppt presentation.
2mb (pdf presentation)
97kb (pdf text) RefJ2776
Cairns region is now among Australia's top fruit growing regions.
The Cairns region is now the third largest fruit growing region in Australia with a value of
production in 2012-13 recorded at over $500 million.
224kb (pdf note) RefJ2894
The Tropical Turnaround and Its Implications for the Australian Economy
Paper presented to the Urban and Regional Economics Section of the Australian Conference of Economists
held at Queensland University of Technology
, 9th July 2015.
1mb (pdf report) RefJ2836
Cairns Shipping Development Project
provided a submission to the Office of the Coordinator-General
commenting on the draft EIS
for the Cairns Shipping Development Project
, especially on economic aspects.
4.4mb (pdf report) RefJ2865
Long-Term Population Trends in Regional Queensland and Northern Australia
Cummings Economics prepared two research papers for Cairns Regional Council identifying long-term population trends:
- In Queensland's regions outside the south-east corner;
- In the regions of northern Australia.
The trends are analysed over the 35-year period 1976 to the last figures verified by the 2011 Census and the 20-year 1991 to 2011 and 10-year 2001 to 2011 periods.
They illustrate the leading role in long-term population growth of the Cairns and Wide Bay Burnett regions in Queensland, and the Cairns region and Northern Territory across the North.
Analysis of regional city growth shows similar patterns.
The papers comment on why the patterns have been occurring and provide estimates of 2050 populations based on the 35, 20 and 10-year trajectories continuing.
Nth Australia 1.7mb (pdf report)
Qld Regions 1.6mb (pdf report)
FNQ Region's Major Projects & Investments
Cairns Chamber of Commerce has released an updated list detailing $16 billion in projects underway or proposed for the Cairns & Far North Queensland region.
THE CAIRNS ECONOMY AND THE NEW ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS
Bill Cummings addressed the Cairns Forum for Business Growth highlighting the favourable impacts on the Cairns economy of a lower dollar and lower interest rates and the surge of new investment taking place.
290kb (pdf note) RefJ2840
WHAT HAS BEEN DRIVING QUEENSLAND'S GROWTH?
The State of Queensland has grown faster than New South Wales and Victoria in recent decades. Why?
This note comments on an erroneous view put forward by the Mayors of South East Queensland - a view that if followed, would cramp Queensland's progress, including the process of Brisbane continuing to close up on Sydney and Melbourne as a competitor metropolitan service centre.
The real direct economic reason is that Queensland has massively increased earnings from the rest of the world outside of Queensland.
The origin of almost all of that increase has been outside of Brisbane and the south east, in northern and central Queensland and the West.
273kb (pdf note) RefJ2833
Note on Recent Exchange Rate Movements
A drop in the value of the Australian dollar against the US dollar is overall, good for Cairns. However the falls were not as strong across all currencies.
369kb (pdf note) RefJ2835
Population of Northern Australia Now Approaching 6% of Australian Total
Growth rate of population of Northern Australia has been out pacing that of Southern Australia and is now approaching 6% of the total.
654kb (pdf note)
Understanding Our Part of the World - Statistical Tables / Charts / Maps
As part of preparation for the Cairns G20 Finance Ministers Conference
, Cummings Economics prepared for Cairns Post
, some 14 key statistical charts, maps and comments that the region's businesses and organisations are free to use. (We would appreciate attribution.)
570kb (pdf paper)